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Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Obama, for all his self-assurance, has smartly told his acolytes to keep fighting all the way through Election Day. You might say complacency is the hobgoblin of losing campaigns. Don't let up, he says.

Well, some are telling the fat lady that she's on in five.

Ta-Nehisi Coates says it's over:
OK, I'm tired of this. Someone--who shall remain nameless--just asked me if I was "nervous" about Obama. FTDS. I don't believe in black cats. I don't toss salt over my shoulder. I step under ladders whenever the mood strikes me. I break mirrors in my spare time. I've made a hobby out of splitting poles. Thirteen is my favorite number. So fuck it, I'm gonna say it--Barack Obama will be the next president of the United States.

He ain't done:
Folks, we are watching a revoloution. I'm talking about the technology, the GOTV effort, the historic numbers for black voters, a sick, sick edge among young voters. Are we going to spend the next days trying to concoct exotic scenarios in which the dastardly Republicans steal this one? Are black folks going to sit around wondering if white people will revert back to their Yacubic nature? Or are we going to start thinking about the change taking place right before our eyes, and what it means for our agenda? What will we do? I'm not asking for self-congratulation--just some self-confidence.

He's not alone. Kai Wright at The Root called it for Obama after the final debate, though less decisively:
It's telling that McCain's latest gambit mirrors the one Clinton played at the primary's close—that Obama is arrogant and presumptuous about his rise to power. "Senator Obama," McCain has been saying all week, "is measuring the drapes and planning with Speaker Pelosi and Senator Reid to raise taxes, increase spending…" blah, blah, blah. McCain may have scored a few points last night, but the fact is, most Americans have long been imagining those new drapes, too.

My view? I oscillate between days. Yesterday was a "Don't Let Up" day - I asked for next Tuesday off from work, I blogged my ass off, I posted about thirty articles to Facebook, I e-mailed and called friends in early-voting states to light a fire.

Today's different. With the Arizona news, and a look at the latest polls...dude.

This is over.

I don't believe in jinxes, especially when Obama's up by so much in PA, VA, CO, OH and within striking distance in NC and FL. The numbers are what they are. The fear that these Democratic registrants won't show is proving to be unfounded. These folks are showing up, and there's no reason to think that they - that we - won't show on Tuesday. I'll be driving every old lady that needs help to the polls that I can, and Lord knows that I'll have to bring some Kleenex for them to wipe their tears. This is happening.

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